Complex Event Analysis - Report

Key Focus

  • But a more important factor seems to be the housing density in some immigrant-heavy suburbs, enhanced by closer physical proximity between generations.
    It is too soon for a full reckoning of the effects of the "Swedish model." The COVID-19 death rate is nine times higher than in Finland, nearly five times higher than in Norway, and more than twice as high as in Denmark
  • The government did not consciously design a Swedish model for confronting the pandemic based on trust in the population's ingrained sense of civic responsibility
  • No momentum supporting factor found

    Challenge supporting factors

  • (tegnell, virus)
  • (seeming, tegnell)
  • (school, tegnell)
  • (public_health, tegnell)
  • (national_institute, tegnell)
  • (model, population)
  • (population, the_covid-19)
  • (model, political)
  • (model, reckoning)
  • (population, reckoning)
  • Work-in-progress supporting factors

  • (political, tegnell)
  • (outbreak, population)
  • (outbreak, tegnell)
  • (late-february, tegnell)
  • (model, population)
  • (population, public_health)
  • (non-swedish, population)
  • (bergstrom, model)
  • Complex Event Time Series Summary - REPORT


    Time PeriodChallengeMomentumWIP
    Report62.50 0.00 37.50

    High Level Abstraction (HLA) combined

    High Level Abstraction (HLA)Report
    (1) (model,population)100.00
    (2) (tegnell,virus)78.79
    (3) (seeming,tegnell)75.76
    (4) (school,tegnell)72.73
    (5) (public_health,tegnell)69.70
    (6) (political,tegnell)66.67
    (7) (outbreak,population)63.64
    (8) (outbreak,tegnell)60.61
    (9) (national_institute,tegnell)57.58
    (10) (late-february,tegnell)54.55
    (11) (population,the_covid-19)45.45
    (12) (model,political)45.45
    (13) (model,reckoning)42.42
    (14) (population,reckoning)39.39
    (15) (population,public_health)36.36
    (16) (political,population)33.33
    (17) (bergstrom,model)33.33
    (18) (policies,population)30.30
    (19) (non-swedish,population)27.27
    (20) (model,university)12.12
    (21) (model,science)9.09
    (22) (model,royal_swedish_academy)6.06
    (23) (model,policies)3.03

    Complex Event Analysis - REPORT

    Back to top of page

    Supporting narratives:

    • challenge (Read more)
      • Rather, actions were shaped by bureaucrats and then defended after the fact as a testament to Swedish virtue.
        In practice, the core task of managing the outbreak fell to a single man: state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell at the National Institute of Public Health. Tegnell approached the crisis with his own set of strong convictions about the virus, believing that it would not spread from China, and later, that it would be enough to trace individual cases coming from abroad
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (national_institute,tegnell)
        • (tegnell,virus)
        • (public_health,tegnell)

    • challenge (Read more)
      • And, in "the fog of war," it was also convenient for L.fven to let Tegnell's agency take charge. Its seeming confidence in what it was doing enabled the government to offload responsibility during weeks of uncertainty
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (seeming,tegnell)

    • challenge (Read more)
      • Hence, the thousands of Swedish families returning from late-February skiing in the Italian Alps were strongly advised to return to work and school if not visibly sick, even if family members were infected. Tegnell argued that there were no signs of community transmission in Sweden, and therefore no need for more general mitigation measures
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (school,tegnell)

    • challenge (Read more)
      • But a more important factor seems to be the housing density in some immigrant-heavy suburbs, enhanced by closer physical proximity between generations.
        It is too soon for a full reckoning of the effects of the "Swedish model." The COVID-19 death rate is nine times higher than in Finland, nearly five times higher than in Norway, and more than twice as high as in Denmark
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (population,the_covid-19)
        • (model,population)
        • (population,reckoning)
        • (model,reckoning)

    • challenge (Read more)
      • To some degree, the numbers might reflect Sweden's much larger immigrant population, but the stark disparities with its Nordic neighbors are nonetheless striking. Denmark, Norway, and Finland all imposed rigid lockdown policies early on, with strong, active political leadership.
        Now that COVID-19 is running rampant through nursing homes and other communities, the Swedish government has had to backpedal
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (political,population)
        • (policies,population)

    • challenge (Read more)
      • Denmark, Norway, and Finland all imposed rigid lockdown policies early on, with strong, active political leadership.
        Now that COVID-19 is running rampant through nursing homes and other communities, the Swedish government has had to backpedal
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (model,political)
        • (model,policies)

    • challenge (Read more)
      • Others who may be tempted by the "Swedish model" should understand that a defining feature of it is a higher death toll.
        Hans Bergstrom, a former editor-in-chief of Dagens Nyheter, Sweden's leading daily newspaper, is a professor of political science at the University of Gothenburg and a member of the Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering Sciences.
        source: https://www.project-syndicate..org/commentary/swedish-coronavirus-no-lockdown-model-proves-lethal-by-hans-bergstrom-2020-04.utm source=Project+Syndicate+Newsletter&utm campaign=554d179774-covid newsletter 23 04 2020&utm medium=email&utm term=0 73bad5b7d8-554d179774-107068529&mc cid=554d179774&mc eid=1c915ec904
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (model,political)
        • (bergstrom,model)
        • (model,university)
        • (model,royal_swedish_academy)
        • (model,science)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • That partly reflects a unique feature of the country's political system: a strong separation of powers between central government ministries and independent agencies
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (political,tegnell)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • Rather, actions were shaped by bureaucrats and then defended after the fact as a testament to Swedish virtue.
        In practice, the core task of managing the outbreak fell to a single man: state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell at the National Institute of Public Health
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (outbreak,tegnell)
        • (outbreak,population)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • Hence, the thousands of Swedish families returning from late-February skiing in the Italian Alps were strongly advised to return to work and school if not visibly sick, even if family members were infected
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (late-february,tegnell)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • The government did not consciously design a Swedish model for confronting the pandemic based on trust in the population's ingrained sense of civic responsibility
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (model,population)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • Rather, actions were shaped by bureaucrats and then defended after the fact as a testament to Swedish virtue.
        In practice, the core task of managing the outbreak fell to a single man: state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell at the National Institute of Public Health.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (population,public_health)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • And, third, the composition of the Swedish population has changed.
        After years of extremely high immigration from Africa and the Middle East, 25% of Sweden's population - 2.6 million of a total population of 10.2 million - is of recent non-Swedish descent.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (non-swedish,population)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • The Grim Truth About the "Swedish Model"
        Apr 17, 2020
        HANS BERGSTROM
        As the coronavirus pandemic has swept the planet, Sweden has stood out among Western democracies by pursuing a "low-scale" lockdown
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (bergstrom,model)

    Target rule match count: 23.0 Challenge: 0.31 Momentum: 0.00 WIP: 0.19